Beyond Peak Oil
A Survey Based On Primary Statistics
The main web page for this site is
Beyond Peak Oil.
The web pages continue to slowly evolve. A PDF document based on the
web site as of May, 2004 is also available.
-
peakoil-04.pdf (pdf version of web pages, 625 KB,
21 pages, many graphs, May, 2004)
-
peakoil-04-part1.pdf (3 pages, 165 KB, many graphs)
(Part 1 only; brief introduction to the issues)
There are many excellent sites describing the issues of peak oil
and oil depletion. The emphasis of this exposition is that
- I summarize the main
data and arguments through easy-to-read graphs, with a minimum of
text; and
- the documents link the data to the original sources on
the Web.
It is surprising how much high
quality, authoritative information can be obtained from a careful
search of the Web.
To summarize,
some expert
petroleum geologists have put together the
most detailed predictions of future oil production, to date. They
have concluded that we will reach peak oil production sometime in the
years 2007-2012. While there will not be a rapid drop in oil
production thereafter, there also will not be any capacity for
additional oil production to fuel the world's growing economies.
Until a transition to alternative energy sources is accomplished, this
situation will throw a long shadow over today's economies.
- Gene Cooperman
Figure 12:
World Oil Production (predictions of 2004 Hubbert Model,
from ASPO Newsletter below)
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Overviews of Oil Depletion by Some of the Experts
(Compare, especially, the discrepancy in predictions for Indonesia,
United States, Russia/Former Soviet Union, and Saudi Arabia.)
Selection of Other Web Sites with Information on Oil Depletion
Sources of Statistics on Oil
Regularly Appearing Statistics
Estimates of recoverable oil
